Abu Dhabi real estate boom begins in 2026 as off-plan sales expected to exceed $32.7bn
Abu Dhabi’s residential property market is poised for a strong year, with total sales expected to reach more than AED120 billion ($32.7 billion) by 2026, as consumer confidence returns and unregulated demand accelerates, supported by a strong pipeline.
Abu Dhabi’s housing market, according to Metropolitan Capital Real Estate, is expected to benefit from short-term speculation among end users and long-term investors, supported by infrastructure expansion, price stabilization and a mature investor base.
“Abu Dhabi’s real estate market is entering a mature growth phase,” said Evgeny Ratskevich, CEO of Metropolitan Capital Real Estate.
“In 2026, activity will be driven less by speculation and more by end-users and long-term investors seeking stability, quality of life and predictable returns. The combination of structured pricing, infrastructure delivery and limited supply in prime locations supports a sustainable outlook across the mid- and high-end market segments.”
Unplanned demand drives 2026 growth
Unplanned housing is expected to be a major growth engine. Unit sales in this segment are predicted to increase by 20-50 percent year-on-year (YoY) compared to 2025, with total off-plan sales expected to reach AED120-140 billion ($32.7-38.12 billion). About 11,000 residential homes are scheduled for delivery, supporting renewed market activity after a sharp decline in early 2025.
The resurgence is driven by realistic pricing, improved payment systems, mass inflows and improved connectivity across the emirate. Major transport and infrastructure projects are also helping to strengthen long-term confidence among consumers.
Demand for undeveloped areas is expected to remain concentrated in existing and developing areas, including Yas Island and surrounding areas, Al Reem Island, Al Ghadeer, Masdar City, Saadiyat Island and Marina District.
These areas continue to attract buyers due to their connectivity, amenities and long-term investment foundations. Unplanned prices are predicted to increase modestly by 3-6 percent in 2026, indicating market stability rather than rapid appreciation.
In the secondary market, resale prices in key areas of Abu Dhabi are expected to increase by 3-5 percent, with apartment prices ranging from AED1,130-1,365 per square foot.
Transaction volumes are expected to grow by 10-20 percent, supported by limited supply of ready units and strong demand for move-in ready homes.
Consumer preferences in the resale segment are increasingly skewed towards larger homes, villas and townhouses in established communities with strong infrastructure, schools and transport links.
The ultra-luxury segment is expected to remain strong, with steady to modest growth in sales and rentals. Waterfront residences on Saadiyat and Yas Islands, luxury villas and gated community villas are predicted to see strong demand, driven by limited supply and Abu Dhabi’s reputation as a safe and stable place for long-term wealth storage.
